if obama's reelected. but at the same time, he needs to present a compelling, alternate vision, and that's one of the reasons he's stalled in the polls. people realize that obama has not delivered, but romney hasn't effectively delivered that message. so he needs to do that tonight, joe is right. but at the same time, the challenge to obama is he has not explained how his second term would be different, and if he doesn't do that, then he's going to have a hard time making the sale as well. megyn: joe, is there, you know, is there, is there more opportunity for mitt romney tonight than we've seen on any other night? i mean, is this really -- like, this is his chance to do it? >> certainly in past debates the challenger seems to do very well in the first one, again, partly just because being there with the president of the united states regardless of party adds to your stature and puts you on an even playing field, so i think romney benefit from that. but the other side of this is, look, a lot of the polls l